Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.445109 0.488127 0.534189 0.587297 0.646986 0.712163 0.788943
2026-01-18 0.375460 0.435346 0.503999 0.589034 0.692225 0.814281 0.970890
2026-01-25 0.336606 0.405098 0.487322 0.594328 0.731409 0.903192 1.138045
2026-02-01 0.300996 0.372623 0.461695 0.582154 0.743216 0.954648 1.259164
2026-02-08 0.279155 0.354195 0.450441 0.585120 0.772270 1.028610 1.416149
2026-02-15 0.258521 0.334931 0.435553 0.580564 0.788964 1.085348 1.553408
2026-02-22 0.243506 0.321567 0.426888 0.582885 0.814279 1.155356 1.717197
2026-03-01 0.227506 0.305425 0.412783 0.575644 0.824052 1.202085 1.849008
2026-03-08 0.212962 0.290158 0.398555 0.566604 0.829571 1.241780 1.972915
2026-03-15 0.197523 0.272535 0.379582 0.548676 0.819218 1.254441 2.051299
2026-03-22 0.191629 0.268307 0.379822 0.559892 0.855689 1.346541 2.280517
2026-03-29 0.185553 0.263348 0.378491 0.568292 0.887923 1.434263 2.513199
2026-04-05 0.178556 0.256702 0.374317 0.572062 0.913179 1.513348 2.743008
2026-04-12 0.171641 0.249775 0.369248 0.573938 0.935284 1.589116 2.977983
2026-04-19 0.166018 0.244485 0.366349 0.579064 0.963326 1.678519 3.254701
2026-04-26 0.157306 0.233829 0.354141 0.567270 0.959416 1.706033 3.401499
2026-05-03 0.152215 0.228668 0.350554 0.570144 0.982800 1.789401 3.686516
2026-05-10 0.146091 0.221503 0.343202 0.565729 0.991796 1.844388 3.914242
2026-05-17 0.141635 0.216826 0.339724 0.567978 1.013748 1.928404 4.226230
2026-05-24 0.135829 0.209623 0.331535 0.560962 1.016618 1.971826 4.443641
2026-05-31 0.130104 0.202290 0.322737 0.552202 1.015161 2.005493 4.641428
2026-06-07 0.123302 0.192851 0.309813 0.534826 0.994553 1.994097 4.716120
2026-06-14 0.121467 0.191796 0.311580 0.545697 1.033935 2.124174 5.207936